Good morning!
The US and Israel have been striking Iran since this weekend, causing a surge in geopolitical premiums and energy prices. The Strait of Hormuz has been effectively shut with almost zero shipping activity passing through, and Iran keeps targeting energy targets in the neighbouring countries, creating a fragile situation. Trump is attempting to ensure the safe passage of vessels through the US Army, but it will be crucial to see how and when this is implemented.
Risk assets have been drifting lower amid this, as the market awaits guidance on how long the war will last. The immediate impact is a spike in inflation, which could be proved short-lived if we get a repeat of last summer.
Data-wise, we are expecting weaker non-farm payrolls on Friday and stable unemployment, while US inflation comes out next Wednesday and is expected to remain stable.
THIS WEEK IN 60 SECONDS
📉 Rates: 10-year yields stable at 4% mark
⚠️ Risk: Geopolitical risk adds fuel to the existing risk-off sentiment from AI
₿ Crypto: Holding up, given the overall reaction of risk assets
🎯 Focus: Iran and energy markets
🔥Trades on Our Radar This Week🔥
Crypto: HYPE+VVV/NEAR+AAVE (pair-trade), VVV, BTC, TAO
Equities: META, NVDA, SEM, TOST, TEAM, INTU
Plan it. Alert it. Slam it.
✅ Read the trades
🔔 Set alerts
🎯 Time your entry
ZRO — Long
+32%
$1.46→ $1.93
Silver — Long
+4%
87.19→ 90
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