When Quiet Moves

🔹 Fox — DOGE
📉 -13.6% this week (unleveraged)
🎯 Short Entry: 0.21827 → Local Low: 0.18852
🧠 Nailed the downside after last week’s short call — caught the rejection cleanly

Bull Market vs. Bear Market Positioning

Introduction

We’re in a bull market.

It might not feel like it if you were around in 2017 or 2021, but zoom out, and the trend is clear—Bitcoin, the S&P 500, gold, and even real estate. Everything has been moving up for years.

But the bull won’t last forever.

There’s a good chance we get one more leg up before things start breaking down, especially in crypto. The economy isn’t as strong as the numbers suggest. Inflated prices and AI hype are a risky mix. A bear market is coming soon, we just don’t know the exact timing.

Let's cover how to make money now, how to hold onto it, and what to do when things flip.

How to Play the Remainder of the Bull

The higher we go, the less we risk. That’s the core idea.

If I invest $100K now, I’ll slowly reduce that amount as prices rise. I’m not trying to time the exact top. I’m just reducing my exposure as things continue to rise and last longer.

Currently, it is a good time to focus on strong, uptrending coins. Look for dips on coins that bounce quickly and lead when the market moves. If a coin holds up well during down weeks and pumps hard during up weeks, that’s a good sign.

Take low-timeframe trades, then roll winners into longer holds. Don’t chase price. Look for good entries. As we push higher, move profits into slightly riskier coins, but reduce the amount you’re putting in.

You might start with Bitcoin. Then rotate into Ethereum. Then move into coins like Solana, Hype, or SUI, and then shitters. Just keep moving on what’s strong on both USDT and BTC pairs.

Don’t aim for moonshots. Have clear targets. Get in, take profit, and scale down again.

As the market becomes more overheated, shorten your time horizon. Think about trades in terms of days or weeks instead of months. Any extra money you make here can start getting moved into your bear market strategy.

Bull Market TL;DR:

• Buy strong coins on dips.

• Shift into riskier coins using smaller size.

• Take profits at reasonable levels.

• Start parking money into yield farms.

• Get ready for the bear. Don’t get liquidated.

How to Play the Bear

At the start of a bear market, most people are in denial. They say, “It’s just a dip” or “It’ll bounce back.” But it won’t. Not any time soon. We already expected this.

As the bull market nears its end, we rotate into stablecoins and yield farms. When the market is overheated, yield pays well. You can earn 15–25% APY on stables without doing anything too risky.

While that runs in the background, we slowly start buying long-term assets.

If the S&P drops 15 to 20 percent, we buy.

If gold dips, we buy.

If Bitcoin drops 40 percent, we move funds off exchanges and pull back yield exposure.

Now our goal is to stack assets, not cash.

We work, earn, and cash flow however we can so we can keep stacking more of the assets we want.

Don’t focus on what your portfolio is worth in dollars. Focus on how much BTC, gold, S&P exposure, or insert asset you own. To buy the bottom means to buy often. We buy throughout the downtrend.

Late Bear

If Bitcoin is down 60 to 75 percent, we’re likely deep in the bear. Garbage projects are gone. Overleveraged institutions are wiped out. Some exchanges may even collapse. This is where we go heavy.

Once Bitcoin starts printing higher highs and higher lows, we stop waiting. We allocated 80-90% of our stack. And then we sit back and wait.

Eventually, the market recovers. The entire financial system is designed to make the number go up. And if you survived the downtrend and bought smart, this is where the real money is made. 

Before you know it, your neighbor becomes your exit liquidity when you're up 10-100x from where you started.

Bear Market TL;DR:

• Rotate out early

• Earn yield while it’s safe.

• Buy strong assets on dips.

• Work for more dip buying money.

• Go heavy when the bottom forms. (It's easy to spot)

• Have PAYtience

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