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McDonald's Calling
Issue #154
Good morning!
Risk assets have continued correcting to the downside, with crypto experiencing significant drawdowns across the board. The bond market is currently pricing a likelihood of another rate cut at the next Fed meeting below 45%, down from a base-case scenario a few weeks ago. Several Fed officials have recently leaned hawkish, highlighting inflationary risks and a lack of clarity about labour market data. The IMF expects lower US growth in Q4 due to tariffs, lower immigration, and political uncertainty. China’s manufacturing and retail sales printed their lowest growth rates in over a year, while Japan and Switzerland’s GDP contracted, mainly due to tariff impacts on exports. Finally, it was reported that Japan’s investment giant Softbank unloaded its entire Nvidia stock last month.
Looking ahead, we have FOMC minutes today, which will be very important given the recent shift in rate-cut expectations. Tomorrow, Non-Farm payrolls are expected slightly higher than the last print, while unemployment is set to remain stable. On Friday, Japan’s inflation rate is expected to tick up, UK retail sales are forecasted to drop to almost flat growth month-on-month, and Germany’s manufacturing PMI is expected to return just above 50. Finally, next Wednesday, core PCE is set to tick lower; however, US GDP growth and consumer spending are forecasted to soften from previous prints.
Trade Ideas This Week
We cover the following tickers:
Crypto: BTC, ZEC, FIL, ASTER, FET, SOL, and STRK
Equities: Oracle, Robinhood, SGML, IPX, and NXE
Remember:
✅ Read the trading plans carefully
🔔 Set price alerts
🎯 Time your entries
Enjoy!
Table of Contents
📊 Crypto
🔹 Foxy
BTC
📉 –12.6% unleveraged move
🎯 Entry: 103,473.2 → Target hit at 90,415
🧠 NL short trade idea from two weeks ago played out cleanly, with the price hitting the main target for a substantial downside completion.
BTC
📉 –5.4% unleveraged move
🎯 Entry: 102,274.9 → Target hit at 96,674.7
🧠 NL short trade idea from last week also delivered, with price moving directly into the main target for another clean downside win.
FIL
📈 +11% unleveraged move
🎯 Entry: 1.986 → Local high: 2.205
🧠 NL long trade idea from last week, delivering a clean upside move straight into our target zone.
🔹 Daniel
ASTER
📈 +40% unleveraged move
🎯 Entry: 1.00 → High: 1.40 (TP1 hit at 1.35)
🧠 NL long idea played out perfectly, with ASTER surging straight into TP1 and continuing higher for a clean momentum-driven upside move.
📊 Equities
🔹 Donny
ELVR
📈 +20% for the week (+77% from entry)
🧠 Strong performance driven by a bullish demand outlook across the lithium sector, further validating our long positioning.
LAR
📈 +14% for the week (+56% from entry)
🧠 Momentum remained firmly bullish as lithium-sector demand forecasts pushed the stock higher.
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