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Rally or Reckoning?
Issue #153
Good morning!
The lack of US data (due to the government shutdown), weaker labour sentiment, and an increase in corporate layoffs, alongside recent Fed comments which increased uncertainty for the next rate cut, initially dragged down risk assets last week. The US Senate this week passed a bill to end the shutdown, which has been well-received by the market. Crypto, however, has consistently underperformed equities over the last few weeks.
Very busy week ahead data-wise: tomorrow, UK GDP is expected to remain in constant growth (monthly and quarterly), and the same with US core inflation (monthly and yearly). In contrast, headline US inflation is expected to drop 0.1% to 0.2% month-on-month and to tick up 0.1% to 3.1% year-on-year. On Friday, industrial and retail sales in China are expected to show lower growth than in previous months. In contrast, the US PPI is expected to jump 0.5% month-on-month, reversing the last deflationary print, and US Retail sales are expected to contract to 0.3% growth month-on-month, from 0.6% previously. Next week, UK inflation is expected to tick down by 0.1% to 3.7% and we also expect the FOMC minutes to give more guidance on the Fed’s next meeting in December.
Trade Ideas This Week
We cover the following tickers:
Crypto: BTC, ETH, FIL, ASTER, VIRTUAL, FET, HYPE, and LINEA
Equities: CAT, MSTR, WYFI, LIF, AFRM, and XYZ
Remember:
✅ Read the trading plans carefully
🔔 Set price alerts
🎯 Time your entries
Enjoy!
Table of Contents
📊 Crypto
🔹 Foxy — BTC
📉 –4.12% unleveraged move
🎯 Entry: 103,473.2 → Low: 99,207.9
🧠 Maintaining short bias as price moved cleanly to new local lows, continuing to respect downside structure.
🔹Daniel
Ticker | Entry | Exit | Gain % |
|---|---|---|---|
ASTER (newsletter) | Long at 1.00 | TP of 1.17 | +17% |
ASTER (Telegram) | Long at 1.08 | TP at 1.13 | +4.5% |
BTC | Long 101,695 | TP1 range of 106-107.5k hit | +5.5% |
📊 Equities
🔹 Donny — ALM
📈 +20% this week
🎯 Entry: $6.00 → Current: +20%
🧠 Full unit deployed late last week on market weakness, already delivering strong early returns as momentum builds.
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